You are exactly right. Ignore any reports on exit polling, but even more important than that, ignore any MSM reports on everything. They have an agenda, and that agenda is NEVER in your interest.
Exit polling was conducted during early voting. Did you read ANY exit polling results from the state-controlled media? Didn't think so. If the results were for Harris, it would have been blasted in our faces across all of their platforms. Instead, 90 million early votes cast and not a peep from their exit polls. Not one! Because they lost the early voting. BADLY.
They couldn't report the results and further demoralize their base, reducing turnout. Having the worst candidate ever to run for President was bad enough. Confirming that fact early on was out of the question.
Thanks, but that's not an exit poll. That's a tabulation of party affiliation of cast votes. An exit poll is where a pollster stands outside the polling station and asks the voter who they voted for.
Roughly half the 80 million early votes were mailed in - no exit poll for 40M voters. Of the states that are considered "in play", only a few actually have in-person early voting that is spread over many days in many different locations.
If you look at the four states considered critical for either side, the in-person early vote tallies are: WI 1M; MI 1.5M; PA 0; GA 4M for a total 6.5M early voters that could have been interviewed over weeks of the process. Further, better than half the early voters are 65+ and likely retired.
Just as Jordan points out in this piece - that population size (<10%) is simply too small and not representative enough of the electorate to provide any indication what will happen.
Even the lying liars have little interest in using EV exit polls to sway opinions when they can just get one for each broadcast to get their 15 seconds of fame by looking into the camera and saying, "Happy, Happy, Joy, Joy....Abortion!!!"
Still, you are correct. If they don't have anything to gloat about, even contrived, regarding where the EV vote went, then they have nothing.
This is 100% correct. Everything the media has done up until now has been biased and dishonest in an attempt to alter the outcome of the election. Why on election day would they suddenly be doing honest reporting and no manipulation? It's like thinking the dog who you have to constantly stop from pissing on your carpet will suddenly be on his best behavior when you leave him inside and head to work.
You give too much credit to the electorate. Just watch a few man in the street videos on YouTube. The vast majority of Americans have been brainwashed by MSM and don't even realize it. The critical thinking ability of the masses has been compromised or never existed at all. Half the country (hopefully less) suffers from acute TDS and they are more concerned with abortion rights than their own survival. We can only pray that the non-woke, enlightened free Thinkers show up enmasse and the deep state is unprepared. As Elon said, "vote like your life depends on it, because it does"
what? I've been an election integrity activist for a dozen years. Exit polls, when done well, are very valuable for getting a read on the legitimacy of the election process, which in our country is notoriously pathetic. The entire "(s)election" process is what needs to come into question. When the "choice" is between two Bilderberg Groupies, that's NOT a choice.
I'm just waiting to see if there will be a magical time this evening when they shut down counting so they can insert fresh Harris ballots in key swing states. Nothing else matters really. They have prepared for that with news article narratives about a delay in results paired with veiled threats about how much security is prepared for you if you were to protest about the delay.
Huge turnouts always signify a desire for change. Do they want to change from 8 years of Trump on the news or 4 years of the immigration mess, crime and economic desolation under Kamala. I'm betting on the former.
Let’s just say those final forecasts are right. That will be another travesty. Red states lost so many electoral votes based on the sham census of 2020. Could have been a 7-9 vote change from blue to red. Not to mention seats in the house. The fact that you can’t correct that for 10 years is also ridiculous.
You are exactly right. Ignore any reports on exit polling, but even more important than that, ignore any MSM reports on everything. They have an agenda, and that agenda is NEVER in your interest.
340+, we need a huge and devastating win.
You hit the nail on the head with your last point. The betting markets will prove to be the most accurate.
Polymarket is spot on.
Wasn’t polymarket wrong in 2020 though? Read that somewhere, but I can’t find a source.
Nope poly market was spot on in 2020. Biden was at $.60 on October 15th, 2020. And he was at $.59 on November 9th, 2020.
Biden ended up "winning" 57% of electoral college.
Ok. So the other posts I’ve seen weren’t accurate. Thank you
Exit polling was conducted during early voting. Did you read ANY exit polling results from the state-controlled media? Didn't think so. If the results were for Harris, it would have been blasted in our faces across all of their platforms. Instead, 90 million early votes cast and not a peep from their exit polls. Not one! Because they lost the early voting. BADLY.
They couldn't report the results and further demoralize their base, reducing turnout. Having the worst candidate ever to run for President was bad enough. Confirming that fact early on was out of the question.
See https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/early-vote
Thanks, but that's not an exit poll. That's a tabulation of party affiliation of cast votes. An exit poll is where a pollster stands outside the polling station and asks the voter who they voted for.
True... but...
Roughly half the 80 million early votes were mailed in - no exit poll for 40M voters. Of the states that are considered "in play", only a few actually have in-person early voting that is spread over many days in many different locations.
If you look at the four states considered critical for either side, the in-person early vote tallies are: WI 1M; MI 1.5M; PA 0; GA 4M for a total 6.5M early voters that could have been interviewed over weeks of the process. Further, better than half the early voters are 65+ and likely retired.
Just as Jordan points out in this piece - that population size (<10%) is simply too small and not representative enough of the electorate to provide any indication what will happen.
Even the lying liars have little interest in using EV exit polls to sway opinions when they can just get one for each broadcast to get their 15 seconds of fame by looking into the camera and saying, "Happy, Happy, Joy, Joy....Abortion!!!"
Still, you are correct. If they don't have anything to gloat about, even contrived, regarding where the EV vote went, then they have nothing.
This is 100% correct. Everything the media has done up until now has been biased and dishonest in an attempt to alter the outcome of the election. Why on election day would they suddenly be doing honest reporting and no manipulation? It's like thinking the dog who you have to constantly stop from pissing on your carpet will suddenly be on his best behavior when you leave him inside and head to work.
You give too much credit to the electorate. Just watch a few man in the street videos on YouTube. The vast majority of Americans have been brainwashed by MSM and don't even realize it. The critical thinking ability of the masses has been compromised or never existed at all. Half the country (hopefully less) suffers from acute TDS and they are more concerned with abortion rights than their own survival. We can only pray that the non-woke, enlightened free Thinkers show up enmasse and the deep state is unprepared. As Elon said, "vote like your life depends on it, because it does"
Exit polls are like Planned Parenthood clinics... They never ask those that matter.
what? I've been an election integrity activist for a dozen years. Exit polls, when done well, are very valuable for getting a read on the legitimacy of the election process, which in our country is notoriously pathetic. The entire "(s)election" process is what needs to come into question. When the "choice" is between two Bilderberg Groupies, that's NOT a choice.
Jordan - well said as usual. I’m very aligned with your EC prediction and popular vote forecast
I learned that lesson when W and Kerry were vying for the Presidency. The exit polls had Kerry winning, but W won handily.
I'm hearing that the rural turnout is huge. Let's hope they can help put DJT over the top!! #MAGA/#MAHA
Qtard much ?
I put $50 on Trump winning a Deep Blue state, we’ll see
I'm just waiting to see if there will be a magical time this evening when they shut down counting so they can insert fresh Harris ballots in key swing states. Nothing else matters really. They have prepared for that with news article narratives about a delay in results paired with veiled threats about how much security is prepared for you if you were to protest about the delay.
Huge turnouts always signify a desire for change. Do they want to change from 8 years of Trump on the news or 4 years of the immigration mess, crime and economic desolation under Kamala. I'm betting on the former.
That is betting on Trump winning.
Let’s just say those final forecasts are right. That will be another travesty. Red states lost so many electoral votes based on the sham census of 2020. Could have been a 7-9 vote change from blue to red. Not to mention seats in the house. The fact that you can’t correct that for 10 years is also ridiculous.
I'm predicting Trump 312+.